Matematicheskie Metody Modelirovaniya Finansovogo Sostoyaniya Predpriyatiya

Rassmatrivaetsya: modelirovanie finansovo-ekonomicheskoe sostoyanie predpriyatiya s ispol'zovaniem markovskikh sluchaynykh protsessov, metody i modeli korrelyatsionno-regressionnogo analiza v otsenke i prognozirovanie vremennykh ryadov pokazateley finansovoy ustoychivosti predpriyatiya (na primere, OAO Sintez-Kauchuk). Privoditsya opisanie ispol'zuemykh metodov i modeley imitatsii (Monte-Karlo, Fostera-St'yuarta, Irvina).Opisano primenenie imitatsionnogo modelirovaniya v analize finansovykh operatsiy raschetnoy deyatel'nosti predpriyatiya. Imitatsionnoe modelirovanie predstavleno kak seriya chislennykh eksperimentov prizvannykh poluchit' empiricheskie otsenki vliyaniya raznykh faktorov na zavisyashchie ot nikh rezul'taty s posleduyushchim analizom pri pomoshchi instrumenta Generatora sluchaynykh chisel.